Quantifying climate change impacts on hydropower production under CMIP6 multi-model ensemble projections using SWAT model
Yazarlar (1)
Doç. Dr. Emrah YALÇIN Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale) | ||
| Dergi Adı | Hydrological Sciences Journal (Q2) | ||
| Dergi ISSN | 0262-6667 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi | ||
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | SCI-Expanded | ||
| Makale Dili | İngilizce | Basım Tarihi | 10-2023 |
| Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa | 68 / 13 / 1915–1936 | DOI | 10.1080/02626667.2023.2245815 |
| Makale Linki | https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2023.2245815 | ||
| Özet |
| This study assesses the effects of climate change on hydropower production in the most threatened highlands region of the Euphrates-Tigris Basin, with the case of the Dipni Project. This evaluation is based on the precipitation and temperature predictions of the multi-model ensembles produced by analysing the simulations of 24 global circulation models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model is utilized to estimate the future inflow rates of the Dipni reservoir under the Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP) scenarios of SSP245 and SSP585. The 25-year reservoir operations conducted in the past and three future periods indicate possible decreases of up to 10.1% and 21.5% in the annual energy production under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, respectively. The results show the need to take adaptive measures against … |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| climate change | CMIP6 | hydropower | multi-model ensemble | reservoir operation | SWAT model |
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
| Atıf Sayıları | |
| WoS | 9 |
| SCOPUS | 10 |
| Google Scholar | 12 |