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Global Barley Production 2025–2035: Forecasting Market Shifts and Policy Implications for Emerging Producers    
Yazarlar (2)
Arş. Gör. Nami Kaan KIZILCAN Arş. Gör. Nami Kaan KIZILCAN
Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Başar ALTUNTAŞ Doç. Dr. Başar ALTUNTAŞ
Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Devamını Göster
Özet
Barley, which holds a significant share among cereals, is a strategic crop for the feed and food industries as well as the beverage sector. Adaptable to Türkiye’s climatic and soil conditions, barley occupies a noteworthy position in agricultural production systems due to its production volume and diversity of uses. With the growth of the livestock sector, the importance of barley in the compound feed industry has increased; its high energy value and good digestibility have made it a preferred raw material. In the food industry, barley is used in the production of traditional and functional products owing to its richness in dietary fiber. In recent years, with the growing trend toward healthy eating, the consumption of barley flour, bran, and whole grain form has become more widespread. The main objective of this study is to generate production forecasts for the 2025–2035 period using the production data from 1961 to 2023 of prominent barley-producing countries around the world. In the study, the most suitable time series model (ARIMA) was identified for each country, and forecasts for future production were made accordingly. The findings reveal that the center of production power in global barley cultivation is shifting geographically from the west to the east and towards the southern hemisphere. Countries such as Türkiye, Russia, and Australia are expected to increase their production shares, whereas traditional producers like the United States, Germany, and Canada are projected to experience a decline. It is anticipated that Türkiye will hold a more prominent position in global production in the future. The findings clearly indicate a shift in barley global …
Anahtar Kelimeler
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü Diğer hakemli uluslarası dergilerde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Journal of Agricultural Faculty of Gaziosmanpasa University
Dergi ISSN 1300-2910
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler TR DİZİN
Makale Dili Türkçe
Basım Tarihi 12-2025
Cilt No 42
Sayı 3
Sayfalar 274 / 283
DOI Numarası 10.55507/gopzfd.1709119
Makale Linki https://doi.org/10.55507/gopzfd.1709119