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Do shocks to tourism receipts have a transitory or persistent nature? A comparison of traditional and artificial intelligence-based analytical procedures      
Yazarlar (3)
Emrah Koçak
Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Ümit BULUT Prof. Dr. Ümit BULUT
Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Selim Bakır
Devamını Göster
Özet
The goal of this study is to determine whether the effects of shocks to tourism receipts and GDP are transitory or permanent in 10 major tourism destinations (Australia, Germany, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Portugal, South Korea, Switzerland, and the US) using data from 1995 to 2022. The study initially employs unit root tests that employ a variety of methods for modeling structural breaks, then performs a unit root test that is based on artificial intelligence. According to the results of the artificial intelligence-based unit root test, the effects of shocks to tourism receipts are transitory in Italy, Japan, and Mexico, while the effects of shocks to GDP are temporary in Australia, Poland, and Switzerland. The study provides policy recommendations for the tourism and hospitality sector and GDP in countries where the impacts of shocks are enduring.
Anahtar Kelimeler
tourism receipts | shocks | persistency | transience | unit root testing | artificial intelligence | structural breaks
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Tourism Economics
Dergi ISSN 1354-8166 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SSCI
Dergi Grubu Q1
Makale Dili Türkçe
Basım Tarihi 07-2025
Sayı 1
Doi Numarası 10.1177/13548166251361275
Makale Linki https://doi.org/10.1177/13548166251361275