Do shocks to tourism receipts have a transitory or persistent nature? A comparison of traditional and artificial intelligence-based analytical procedures
     
Yazarlar (3)
Emrah Koçak
Erciyes Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Ümit BULUT Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Selim Bakır
Auburn University, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri
Makale Türü Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Tourism Economics (Q1)
Dergi ISSN 1354-8166 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SSCI
Makale Dili Türkçe Basım Tarihi 07-2025
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 0 / 1 / – DOI 10.1177/13548166251361275
Makale Linki https://doi.org/10.1177/13548166251361275
Özet
The goal of this study is to determine whether the effects of shocks to tourism receipts and GDP are transitory or permanent in 10 major tourism destinations (Australia, Germany, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Portugal, South Korea, Switzerland, and the US) using data from 1995 to 2022. The study initially employs unit root tests that employ a variety of methods for modeling structural breaks, then performs a unit root test that is based on artificial intelligence. According to the results of the artificial intelligence-based unit root test, the effects of shocks to tourism receipts are transitory in Italy, Japan, and Mexico, while the effects of shocks to GDP are temporary in Australia, Poland, and Switzerland. The study provides policy recommendations for the tourism and hospitality sector and GDP in countries where the impacts of shocks are enduring.
Anahtar Kelimeler
tourism receipts | shocks | persistency | transience | unit root testing | artificial intelligence | structural breaks