img
img
The Nexus Between CDS Premiums and Exchange Rates: Evidence From BRICS Countries And Türkiye     
Yazarlar (2)
Doç. Dr. Yüksel İLTAŞ Doç. Dr. Yüksel İLTAŞ
Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Fatih GÜZEL Doç. Dr. Fatih GÜZEL
Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Devamını Göster
Özet
This study investigates the long-term relationship between Credit Default Swap (CDS) premiums and exchange rates among the BRICS-T countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and Turkey) known for their significant impacts on both regional and global dynamics, advanced industrialization, rapid economic growth, and considerable profit potential. Utilizing the RALS-LM unit root test and the RALS-EG cointegration test, and Hacker and Hatemi-J bootstrap causality test, this research circumvents the limitations commonly associated with traditional econometric approaches. A comprehensive and up-to-date dataset, reflecting intensive global and regional movements, was employed, consisting of daily data from January 2020 to June 2024. The findings indicate a long-term relationship between CDS premiums and exchange rates in all countries except Turkey. As the relationship is positive, it can be interpreted that an increase in the exchange rate will increase the CDS premium of countries. In terms of causality, strong evidence that the CDS premium is the cause of the exchange rate is only valid for Turkey. For Brazil, Russia, China and South Africa, we find that the exchange rate is the cause of the CDS premium. As a result, it is concluded that exchange rate movements may affect CDS premiums in these countries.
Anahtar Kelimeler
BRICS-T | Exchange Rate | CDS Premiums | RALS-LM Unit Root | Test | RALS-EG | Cointegration Test
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü ESCI dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Ekonomi, Politika & Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi
Dergi ISSN 2587-151X
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler ESCI
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 12-2024
Cilt No 9
Sayı 4
Sayfalar 796 / 811
Doi Numarası 10.30784/epfad.1583969
Makale Linki https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/epfad/issue/89629/1583969