THE VALIDITY OF TOURISM-LED GROWTH HYPOTHESIS FOR THE TOP TEN TOURISM REVENUE GENERATING COUNTRIES
      
Yazarlar (1)
Doç. Dr. Emrah SOFUOĞLU Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (SCOPUS dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Advances in Hospitality and Tourism Research (AHTR)
Dergi ISSN 2147-9100 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 01-2022
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 10 / 1 / 95–108 DOI 10.30519/ahtr.855879
Makale Linki https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/1494623
Özet
This study aims to test the validity of the tourism-led growth hypothesis. For this purpose, ten countries with the highest tourism income (USA, China, Australia, France, Italy, England, Spain, Germany, Japan, Thailand) are included in the analysis covering the period 1995-2018. Pedroni cointegration, panel Dynamic Ordinary Least Square (DOLS) and panel Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS) methods are utilized by using economic growth, tourism revenues and exchange rate series. According to panel DOLS and panel FMOLS test results, tourism revenues and exchange rate have a positive effect on economic growth. Furthermore, Granger causality analysis findings indicate a uni-directional causal relation from tourism revenues to economic growth and from exchange rate to tourism. The overall results of the empirical analysis verify the tourism-led growth hypothesis for the ten countries with the highest tourism income.
Anahtar Kelimeler
economic growth | panel data analysis | tourism-led growth hypothesis