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Educational data mining: prediction of students’ academic performance using machine learning algorithms   
Yazarlar
Doç. Dr. Mustafa YAĞCI
Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Özet
Educational data mining has become an effective tool for exploring the hidden relationships in educational data and predicting students' academic achievements. This study proposes a new model based on machine learning algorithms to predict the final exam grades of undergraduate students, taking their midterm exam grades as the source data. The performances of the random forests, nearest neighbour, support vector machines, logistic regression, Naive Bayes, and k-nearest neighbour algorithms, which are among the machine learning algorithms, were calculated and compared to predict the final exam grades of the students. The dataset consisted of the academic achievement grades of 1854 students who took the Turkish Language-I course in a state University in Turkey during the fall semester of 2019-2020. The results show that the proposed model achieved a classification accuracy of 70-75%. The predictions were made using only three types of parameters; midterm exam grades, Department data and Faculty data. Such data-driven studies are very important in terms of establishing a learning analysis framework in higher education and contributing to the decision-making processes. Finally, this study presents a contribution to the early prediction of students at high risk of failure and determines the most effective machine learning methods.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Machine learning, Educational data mining, Predicting achievement, Learning analytics, Early warning systems
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü ESCI dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Smart Learning Environments
Dergi ISSN 2196-7091
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler ESCI, SCOPUS, EBSCO, DOAJ
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 02-2022
Cilt No 9
Sayı 11
Sayfalar 1 / 19
Doi Numarası 10.1186/s40561-022-00192-z
Makale Linki https://slejournal.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40561-022-00192-z