img
img
The Examination with the Aid of Almon Approach of CobwebTheorem to Tomato Production in Turkey    
Yazarlar (2)
Prof. Dr. Hasan Gökhan DOĞAN Prof. Dr. Hasan Gökhan DOĞAN
Kırşehir Ahi Evran Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Ebru Onurlubaş
Trakya Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Devamını Göster
Özet
The cobweb theorem is a theory which explains supply and demand disparity caused by periodic price fluctuations that emerge from increasing demand during current period due to several reasons. There are lots of econometric analyses that are used to describe this theory. One of these is the Almon Model, which is a distributed lag econometrics model. In this research, it is aimed to describe the relationship between tomato production and tomato prices in the framework of the Almon Model approach. There search period is between 1994-2013. According to the findings that are gained from the model, tomato production in Turkey is retrospectively affected by the prices two years ago at the very most. Where as the prices of “t” period and “t-1” period affect the production positively, the prices of “t-2” period have a negative effect. In the research the validation of the Cobweb Theorem has been proven. This result indicates that price stability through production planning and accordingly supply and demand balance is a necessity. In this way, both production and consumption will be defined and recorded as data and there will be the opportunity to make more reliable predictions. Besides the deficiency due to surplus and high price mechanism due to demand surplus will be avoided.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü Diğer hakemli uluslarası dergilerde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi
Dergi ISSN 1309-3738
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler ASOS, ıNDEKS COPERNıCUS, AKADEMİK DİZİN, SCIPIO, TÜRK EĞİTİM İNDEKSİ (TEİ), ARASTIRMAX, ULRICHSWEB, DOAJ, EBSCO, SIS, OAJI, RESEARCH BIB
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 04-2016
Cilt No 7
Sayı 1
Sayfalar 259 / 272
Makale Linki http://sbedergi.karatekin.edu.tr/OncekiSayilarDetay.aspx?Sayi=7.1
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Atıf Sayıları
Google Scholar 6

Paylaş